Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.381734 0.417420 0.455496 0.499238 0.548211 0.601477 0.663966
2025-12-21 0.312527 0.360600 0.415380 0.482797 0.564042 0.659436 0.780866
2025-12-28 0.282989 0.338701 0.405127 0.490935 0.599968 0.735408 0.918780
2026-01-04 0.260874 0.321401 0.396219 0.496735 0.630143 0.803862 1.051789
2026-01-11 0.242431 0.306005 0.387013 0.499551 0.654652 0.865165 1.180104
2026-01-18 0.226884 0.292476 0.378308 0.501129 0.676209 0.922939 1.308451
2026-01-25 0.214766 0.282193 0.372589 0.505515 0.701045 0.986527 1.451519
2026-02-01 0.199613 0.266476 0.357944 0.495567 0.703479 1.016421 1.544932
2026-02-08 0.190237 0.257997 0.352580 0.498215 0.724276 1.075332 1.690958
2026-02-15 0.180070 0.247626 0.343622 0.494506 0.734494 1.117903 1.813954
2026-02-22 0.172533 0.240504 0.338793 0.496454 0.753378 1.175718 1.969933
2026-03-01 0.163667 0.230848 0.329486 0.490551 0.758708 1.210859 2.088579
2026-03-08 0.155380 0.221702 0.320544 0.484808 0.764188 1.247428 2.216230
2026-03-15 0.145356 0.209398 0.306042 0.469043 0.751314 1.250274 2.278719
2026-03-22 0.141587 0.206463 0.305932 0.476898 0.779910 1.330852 2.508553
2026-03-29 0.137601 0.202937 0.304609 0.482496 0.804786 1.406804 2.739885
2026-04-05 0.133302 0.198665 0.301783 0.485214 0.824474 1.474576 2.963578
2026-04-12 0.129068 0.194260 0.298453 0.486737 0.841914 1.539492 3.190781
2026-04-19 0.125635 0.190967 0.296752 0.490970 0.864759 1.617637 3.461711
2026-04-26 0.119888 0.183595 0.287773 0.481369 0.859728 1.636793 3.591486
2026-05-03 0.116666 0.180263 0.285496 0.483924 0.879011 1.709931 3.869829
2026-05-10 0.112591 0.175306 0.280146 0.480344 0.885472 1.755462 4.083753
2026-05-17 0.109663 0.172157 0.277776 0.482225 0.903290 1.828326 4.384758